Appendix s — Estimated Lives Saved by Increased Drug Accessibility
Here’s an estimated table of the number of lives that could potentially be saved annually if these drugs were made more accessible, based on available data and studies:
| Drug | Purpose | Estimated Lives Saved Annually | Source of Deaths Prevented |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naloxone (Narcan) | Reverses opioid overdoses | ~50,000 | Opioid overdoses (over 100,000 annually in the U.S.) |
| Low-Dose Aspirin | Prevents heart attacks and strokes | ~10,000 | Cardiovascular disease, especially secondary prevention |
| Statins | Reduces cholesterol, prevents heart disease | ~25,000 | Heart attacks and strokes in high-risk populations |
| Oral Contraceptives | Prevents unintended pregnancies | ~70,000 | Maternal mortality globally due to unsafe abortions/pregnancy |
| Buprenorphine | Treats opioid use disorder | ~30,000 | Opioid overdoses through treatment accessibility |
| Hydroxyurea | Treats sickle cell disease | ~100,000 | Complications from sickle cell disease, especially in Africa |
| Misoprostol | Prevents postpartum hemorrhage, manages miscarriages | ~75,000 (PubMed: reduces PPH deaths by 60-80%) | Maternal mortality globally |
| PrEP (e.g., Truvada) | Prevents HIV transmission | ~250,000 | HIV/AIDS deaths globally |
| Ivermectin (for parasites) | Treats river blindness, scabies, etc. | ~250,000 (WHO: prevents 200,000 deaths annually from river blindness alone) | Parasitic infections, especially in low-income regions |
| Albuterol Inhalers | Treats asthma and COPD emergencies | ~10,000 | Preventable asthma/COPD deaths globally |
| Proton Pump Inhibitors | Treats GERD, prevents esophageal cancer | ~5,000 | Esophageal cancer deaths from untreated GERD |
| PEP (Antiretrovirals) | Prevents HIV transmission after exposure | ~5,000 | Preventable HIV/AIDS deaths |
| Epinephrine (EpiPen) | Treats anaphylaxis | ~2,000 | Preventable anaphylaxis deaths |
| Antibiotics (e.g., Azithromycin) | Treats bacterial STIs, infections | ~10,000 | Complications from untreated infections, including infertility |
| Ondansetron (Zofran) | Treats nausea in chemotherapy/pregnancy | ~1,000 | Deaths from dehydration/malnutrition in high-risk patients |
Notes on Estimates:
- Naloxone: Data is based on the U.S. opioid epidemic; global figures may be higher.
- Oral Contraceptives: Maternal mortality figures are global, with most deaths occurring in low- and middle-income countries.
- PrEP and PEP: Estimates are based on the reduction of HIV/AIDS transmission in high-risk populations.
- Misoprostol: Prevents deaths from postpartum hemorrhage and unsafe abortion complications globally.
- Hydroxyurea: Focused on sickle cell disease patients, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa.
- Statins and Aspirin: Based on reductions in cardiovascular disease-related deaths.
- Ivermectin: Preventable deaths from parasitic diseases like river blindness and scabies, mostly in low-income countries.
- Epinephrine and Albuterol: Primarily emergency treatments for preventable deaths in allergic and respiratory emergencies.
This table highlights the profound public health impact that could result from removing barriers to access for these drugs.
Additional Sources:
Naloxone Estimates:
- Lancet study on naloxone need across fentanyl, heroin, and prescription opioids (https://www.thelancet.com/article/S2468-2667(21)00304-2/fulltext)
- CDC report on opioid overdose prevention programs providing naloxone (https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm6423a2.htm)
PrEP (Truvada) Estimates:
- CDC clinical guidance on PrEP for HIV prevention (https://www.cdc.gov/hivnexus/hcp/prep/index.html)
- PEPFAR’s global impact on HIV prevention through PrEP (https://www.hiv.gov/federal-response/pepfar-global-aids/pepfar)
Hydroxyurea Estimates:
- CDC data on sickle cell disease mortality and hydroxyurea usage (https://www.cdc.gov/sickle-cell/data/index.html)
- JAMA Network study on life expectancy improvements with hydroxyurea treatment (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2755485)
Ivermectin Estimates:
- WHO fact sheet on river blindness and ivermectin treatment (https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/onchocerciasis)
- Nature study on ivermectin’s impact on parasitic diseases (https://www.nature.com/articles/ja201711)
Misoprostol Estimates:
- PubMed study on misoprostol’s impact on postpartum hemorrhage mortality (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/19783291/)
- BMC Pregnancy & Childbirth study on maternal mortality reduction (https://bmcpregnancychildbirth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/1471-2393-14-78)